European Union intelligence services have recorded a significant increase in the threat of terrorist attacks in EU countries.
According to Politico, the increased risk is linked to a sharp escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, particularly potential actions by Iran and affiliated groups. EU intelligence indicates the likelihood of sleeper cells becoming active, as well as the use of proxy structures to carry out attacks on European territory. Potential targets include critical infrastructure, public spaces, diplomatic missions, and crowded areas.
“Data obtained by EU intelligence indicates a serious deterioration in the situation. The threat of terrorist attacks has reached a new level due to geopolitical tensions,” the publications note.
Against this backdrop, security measures have already been strengthened in a number of EU countries:
Patrols have been increased in major cities and at transport hubs;
Terrorist threat levels have been raised;
Intelligence sharing between member states and EU institutions has been intensified.
Last week, the European Commission presented its updated counter-terrorism agenda (ProtectEU), which emphasizes the need to strengthen the protection of public spaces, critical infrastructure, and combat online radicalization. The document emphasizes that terrorist and extremist threats are becoming increasingly complex and multifaceted.
Experts from Europol and national intelligence agencies note that 2024–2025 already saw an increase in jihadist activity in Europe, and the current escalation in the Middle East could serve as an additional catalyst. Of particular concern is the potential use of minors and newly arrived migrants as perpetrators of attacks.
EU officials are currently refraining from making detailed public comments but emphasize that the situation is being monitored around the clock, and coordination between member states has been significantly strengthened.
Residents and visitors to Europe are advised to remain vigilant in crowded places and to follow official warnings and announcements from local authorities.