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The new battle for the Atlantic: why Britain needs an “Atlantic bastion”

On December 8, 2025, the UK Ministry of Defense officially unveiled its new submarine defense program, Atlantic Bastion. The program is a direct response to increased Russian submarine and espionage activity. According to the statement, the project aims to “make Britain more secure from Russian submarine threats in the North Atlantic” by revolutionizing the capabilities of the Royal Navy, which will enable it to detect, track, and, if necessary, neutralize threats across a large area of water, from the Mid-Atlantic Ridge to the Norwegian Sea.

Essentially, the Atlantic Bastion is an attempt to create an underwater system similar to the fixed systems of the Cold War era, but in a modern high-tech version. Experts note that this system combines stationary and mobile elements: underwater gliders and autonomous underwater vehicles capable of patrolling for weeks; surface ships and submarines that activate when a threat is detected; aviation and unmanned technology; a comprehensive system of centralized data processing using AI (acoustic detection, noise classification, automatic tracking of suspicious contacts, and transmission of target data to ships, aircraft, and response services); a secure communications and information exchange system to quickly and effectively transmit threat signals.

Already in its first phase, in 2025, the project received approximately £14 million in funding. Twenty-six companies from Britain and Europe submitted their proposals for the developer competition.

Such a large-scale modernization is evidence that London perceives the underwater space of the North Atlantic not simply as an arena for potential conflict, but as a strategic zone of national security that requires constant monitoring and protection. According to the British Minister of Defense, the protection of submarine cables and maritime infrastructure is “critical to the way of life in the UK and its allies.”

The launch of the Atlantic Bastion was also a response to specific, documented trends. British and Western sources emphasize that Russia has increased the activity of its submarine forces and reconnaissance fleet in the Atlantic over the past two years. For example, there has been a reported 30% increase in Russian naval presence near British waters.

Of particular concern is the appearance of the spy ship Yantar off the coast of Britain and well-founded suspicions that such vessels are engaged in mapping the seabed, eavesdropping, and observing submarine cables and infrastructure, which could potentially indicate preparations for sabotage.

As analysts note, the Russian fleet is being modernized, with the addition of submarines with increased stealth capabilities and improved acoustic capabilities. In addition, Russian submarine forces are capable of operating not only far away in deep waters, but also in areas where international maritime communications, submarine cables, and pipelines are located, which poses a real threat. In such conditions, traditional anti-submarine defense measures lose their effectiveness, which creates the need for a new approach, as laid out in the Atlantic Bastion. Thus, Britain views Russia’s underwater activity as a systematic strategic campaign of pressure and espionage.

With the full deployment of the Atlantic Bastion, Britain will gain comprehensive underwater defense in the North Atlantic. In the long term, this would mean control over key maritime communications, cables, and submarine routes, and the potential ability to thwart the actions of Russian submarine forces even before they go on combat patrol.

Such control could become the cornerstone of the defense concept of Britain and its NATO allies, especially in the GIUK zone (the passage between Greenland, Iceland, and Britain), which is key to strategic transport and the North Atlantic sea line of communication.

The launch of the Atlantic Bastion program was not just a new defense project for the UK, but a strategic signal, as the underwater space of the Atlantic is seen as a place of future conflicts, including hybrid ones. The protection of submarine cables, pipelines, and energy communications is becoming a priority, as it is these hidden infrastructures that are most vulnerable in an era of sabotage and subversive operations. The creation of a network of sensors, autonomous systems, and new monitoring tools should enable Britain and its allies to control the underwater environment, reducing the risks of hidden attacks and interference.

At the same time, the program serves as a strategic deterrent. The sophisticated surveillance system limits the freedom of maneuver of Russian submarines and reconnaissance ships, while the public promotion of the project strengthens London’s diplomatic and psychological position in the North Atlantic. This reinforces Britain’s influence in NATO and shapes the narrative in which Moscow is portrayed as a source of threat. The integration of AI and autonomous technologies positions the Atlantic Bastion not only as a response to current challenges, but also as a long-term commitment to technological superiority that will define London’s strategy for decades to come.

To understand why the UK was forced to step up its activities in the Atlantic, it is important to consider Moscow’s motivation. Russia uses its submarine forces as a tool for strategic pressure: submarines and reconnaissance vessels operate covertly, are capable of mapping underwater infrastructure, and pose threats that are difficult to detect and identify. At the same time, the vulnerability of submarine cables, pipelines, and communications makes them potential targets in hybrid conflicts, which gives Moscow additional leverage. The modernization of the Russian fleet and its demonstration of activity are an attempt to regain its status as a major maritime player, despite sanctions and isolation, while the increased cost of protecting maritime routes undermines NATO’s stability and unity.

Against this backdrop, Britain’s Atlantic Bastion is a response to Russia’s efforts to reshape the Atlantic space to suit its own interests. The system of sensors, autonomous devices, and AI is designed to restore control over key maritime communications and deprive Moscow of its advantage of secrecy, while strengthening Britain’s position within NATO. Thus, the Atlantic Bastion is both a defensive measure and an element of strategic deterrence aimed at preventing a redistribution of power in the Atlantic in Russia’s favor.

Several key scenarios that this new maritime rivalry could lead to are already apparent.

Increased underwater collisions and incidents. The emergence of the Atlantic Bastion system will increase the chances of detecting and intercepting Russian submarines, which could lead to incidents, interceptions, forced surfacing, and diplomatic scandals.

Hybrid attacks on maritime infrastructure. If Russia considers direct confrontation unlikely, it may attempt to attack cables and pipelines or use underwater drones for sabotage, thereby exacerbating maritime security in Europe.

The arms race is heating up. The UK might expand its network of radar detectors, buy more Type 26 frigates, underwater drones, and submarines. In response, Russia will build quieter boats, electronic warfare systems, and acoustic “screen” devices.

Political and economic pressure. Increased costs for protecting maritime infrastructure, the need for constant patrolling, and increased spending on the navy could all affect the economies of NATO countries and their defense policies, sparking public debate.

Long-term restructuring of maritime strategy. If the Atlantic Bastion is successfully implemented, the North Atlantic could become an area of sustained NATO control, which would alter the balance of power. Russia will be forced to either restrain its activities or seek alternative routes, which will affect its maritime strategy in the long term.

The launch of Atlantic Bastion, an important strategic move by the UK, marked the beginning of a new phase of maritime rivalry between Britain (and NATO as a whole) and Russia. If Russia continues to expand its underwater activities and Britain is able to effectively implement Atlantic Bastion, the confrontation will turn into a long-term underwater game involving constant pressure, espionage, interceptions, sabotage, and possibly a new Cold War. The consequences of this could affect not only military aspects, but also Europe’s energy, communications, economy, and politics.

In this sense, the Atlantic Bastion becomes an armament project, an investment in the future order, an attempt to shift control of the Atlantic to those who are prepared to look ahead. And Russia is clearly prepared to resist.